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moige... siglaxakiTa simdidre, anus saqarTvelo da globalistebi


xelisuflebam, romelmac ar icis sakuTari sameurneo ganviTarebis dinamika, strategia, taqtika da politika _ rbilad rom vTqvaT, ar varga. sxvanairad verc daaxasiaTeb im qveynis xelisuflebas, romlis ekonomikuri gegmebi aSkarad moCvenebiT xasiaTs atarebs. arada, Cveni qveynis mofarfate ekonomikuri koniunqtura da misi geostrategiul interesTa samomavlo gardaqmnebis niuansebi iseT labirinTebs qmnian, saidanac Tavis daRweva Zneli iqneba. a mainc, miuxedavad yvelafrisa, radac unda dagvijdes, saWiroa SevadginoT qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis gamowvlilviT gaanalizebuli konceptualuri modeli. samwuxarod, mis Sesadgenad araviTari bazisi ar arsebobs. ar arsebobs imitom, rom sabWoTa gegmebi, gasagebi mizezebis gamo, ver gamodgeba orientirad damoukidebeli saqarTvelos damoukidebeli ekonomikis ganviTarebisTvis. kidev imitom, rom ukanasknel aTwleulSi saqarTveloSi datrialebulma movlenebma erTianad gaapartaxa da gaanadgura yvelaferi, rac ki gagvaCnda (ese igi yvelaferi nulidan unda daviwyoT); kidev imitomac, rom sabWoTa gegmebis Sedgenidan dRemde (qarTvel Tu ucxoel ekonomistebs ki sxva safuZveli ara aqvT) naxtomiseburad ganviTarda mecniereba da samecniero_teqnikuri SesaZleblobebi. anu, mniSvnelovnad daixvewa teqnologiuri procesebi, Seicvala maTTvis saWiro resursebis saxeobebi, mopovebis bazrebi da sxva. yovelive zemoTqmulidan gamomdinare, saqarTveloSi Zireulad Seicvala sazRvargareTidan Semosatani nedleulisa da teqnikuri aRWurvilobis saxeoba, raodenoba da mopovebis geografia; produqciis damzadebis pirobebi da gasaRebis bazrebis geografia; Seicvala agreTve resursebis mopovebisTvis Tu samamulo produqciis realizebisaTvis xelsayreli pirobebis Seqmnis SesaZleblobebi da interesTa sivrce. daskvna erTia, SeuZlebelia srulyofilad daigegmos qveynis ekonomikis romelime dargis, an Tundac ama Tu im sawarmos ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konturebi, Tu mTeli qveynis masStabiT winaswar ar Catarda mosamzadebeli samuSaoebi. xazgasmiT aRvniSnav _ inteleqtualuri moTxovnebi aseTi moculobis samuSaoebis Casatareblad, scildeba mxolod ekonomistebis (an finansistebis) profesionalur SesaZleblobebsa da informaciuli aRWurvilobis sawiers. aseTi samuSaoebis Catareba xelewifeba mxolod saqarTvelos mTeli inteligenciis rCeul dass, maT Soris, sameurneo dargebis samecniero_teqnologiuri sferos specialistTa nakreb gunds, ra Tqma unda, ekonomistebTan da sxva specialistebTan erTad. unda aRiniSnos, rom saqarTveloSi teqnologiur sferos specialistTa iseTi kohorta hyavs (jer kidev!), rom mraval qveyanas SeSurdeba. swored maTi gamocdileba, intuicia da erudicia saSualebas iZleva, Sedges dRes moqmedi, ganaxlebadi da samomavlod perspeqtiuli yvela sameurneo dargis (daaxloebiT orasis farglebSia) da yvela raionis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis miznobrivi programa: erTobliobaSi yvela es miznobrivi programa Seqmnis qveynis sameurneo potencialis, misTvis saWiro uaxlesi teqnologiebisa da sxva zemoTqmulTa Sesaxeb yovlismomcvel monacemTa amomwurav informaciul banks, romlis gareSe SeuZlebelia TiToeuli miznobrivi programis daxvewa. maTi daxvewis mizniT unda Catardes informaciuli bankis monacemTa detaluri analizi dRevandeli dRis realobebis, qveynis ekonomikur interesTa geostrategiuli sivrcis swrafad cvalebadi situaciebisa da prognozirebadi momavlis niuansebis gaTvaliswinebiT. analizis safuZvelze unda moxdes dRes moqmedi da samomavlod perspeqtiuli, TiToeuli sawarmoo simZlavrisa Tu sameurneo obieqtis, TiToeuli resursisa Tu produqtis, agreTve resursebis mopovebisa Tu produqciis gasaRebis, yoveli SesaZlebeli bazrisa da sxvaTa ranJireba. aseTi zemasStaburi analitikuri samuSaoebi safuZvlad daedeba sameurneo dargebis da raionis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis miznobrivi programebis sinTezs (ra Tqma unda, ekonomikur_maTematikuri meTodebiT). Sedegi _ qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modelis sawyisi variantia. konceptualuri modelis sawyis variantze dayrdnobiT, specialistTa igive jgufi xelmeored Seadgens raionuli da dargobrivi ganviTarebis miznobriv programebs. pirvandelTan SedarebiT, isini iqnebian ufro realurni da cxovrebiseulni, vinaidan maTi amosavali baza amjerad iqneba ara mxolod SemdgenelTa erudicia da intuicia, aramed agreTve sruliad qarTuli erTiani sameurneo xedva, konceptualuri modelis sawyisi variantis saxiT. xelmeored Sedgenili miznobrivi programebis ganmeorebiTi sinTeziT miiReba qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modelis gaumjobesebuli varianti. ase gagrZeldeba manam, sanam ar miviRebT saqarTvelos ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modelis gonivrulad srulyofil variants, riTac damTavrdeba is mosamzadebeli samuSaoebi, adre rom vaxseneT. amgvarad, miRebuli konceptualuri modeli is zogadqarTuli erovnuli niadagia, romelsac daeyrdnoba prioritetebis gansazRvra, proporciebis damcavi meqanizmis Sedgena, agreTve misi ganxorcielebis meTodebisa da saSualebebis daxvewa. igi saSualebas mogvcems, dasabuTebulad gamovkveToT ekonomikuri da raionebis konturebi (da administraciuli dayofa). mis bazaze argumentirebulad Camoyalibdeba xelisuflebis optimaluri modeli, misi struqtura, funqcionirebis konturebi da transformaciis dinamika. igi gaxdeba is zogaderovnuli substrati, romelzedac aRmocendeba kulturuli gardaqmnebis zednaSeni da qarTuli saxelmwifos Zliereba. igi gaxdeba erovnuli ideologiis fuZemdebluri faqtori, eris makonsolidirebeli da damcavi funqciebiT. xazgasmiT aRvniSnavT, rom qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modeli CvenTvis iqneba rogorc ekonomikuri Suqura (orientiri), romlis ganxorcielebisken vivliT (ra Tqma unda, ara mbrZanebluri ekonomikis meTodebiT), aramed ZiriTadad investorTa iniciativebisa da dainteresebis calkeuli SemTxvevebis kvaldakval (maTTvis privilegirebuli pirobebis uzrunvelyofiT). anu, konceptualuri modeli mudmivad unda ixvewebodes droisa da movlenebis kvaldakval. maSasadame, am procesebis Semoqmedi jgufi (davarqvaT mas `mrCevelTa dasi~ an `samsjelo~) unda gaxdes agreTve mudmivmoqmedi organo. `samsjelo~ an `mrCevelTa dasi~, rogorc inteligenciis warmomadgenlobiTi organo, unda sargeblobdes mxolod mrCevelTa xmis uflebiT da ar unda iyos arc sakanonmdeblo da miT umetes, arc aRmasrulebeli xelisuflebis struqtura. Tu davazustebT, is SeiZleba funqcionirebdes, ase vTqvaT, qveda palatis (Tu SeiZleba iTqvas `sameurneo kongresis~) formiT. mis mier SemuSavebuli sakanonmdeblo aqtebis proeqtebi, vTqvaT, sameurneo kodeqsi (aseulobiT sameurneo xasiaTis kanoni, norma Tu instruqcia), dasamtkiceblad waredgineba parlaments. parlamenti, arCeuli partiuli siebis gareSe, raodenobrivadac amJamindelis raRac nawili Tu iqneba albaT. Tu kvlav `mrCevelTa dass~ an `samsjelos~ davubrundebiT, SevniSnavT, rom Tavisi masStaburi analitikuri azrovnebis wyalobiT, igi gaxdeba saxelmwifos ekonomikuri interesebis geostrategiuli sivrcis profesionali mkvlevari da maSasadame, saxelmwifo strategiis upirvelesi Semoqmedi. aqedan gamomdinare, igi iqneba sameurneo saqmianobaSi kargad garkveuli (Tanamedrove yaidis) politikosTa skola, gnebavT samWedlo momavali parlamentisTvis. qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modelis Seqmna gansakuTrebiT mniSvnelovania bunebis damcvelebisaTvis. igi mizanmimarTulia saqarTveloSi maRalteqnologiuri, humanuri teqnosferos SeqmnisaTvis, romelic ara marto minimumamde daiyvans bunebaze teqnogenur zemoqmedebas, aramed misaRwevad srulad Seamcirebs samrewvelo narCenebis raodenobasac. saerTod, samrewvelo narCenebi dRevandel msoflios ormag ubedurebad evlineba. erTi mxriv, narCenebis dagroveba moaswavebs bunebrivi resursebis uyairaTod xarjvas, xolo meore mxriv, aWuWyianebs da fitavs sxva bunebriv resursebs. narCenebis likvidaciisTvis brZola aris globaluri problema da igi unda gadawydes mxolod msoflios masStabiT. erTi qveynis farglebSi, narCenebis srulad aTviseba, an maTi warmoSobiTi mizezebis likvidacia, praqtikulad, SeuZlebelia, ra maRalteqnologiuric unda iyos misi teqnosfero (magaliTi iaponia gaxlavT). ufro srulyofilad garkvevisaTvis, mokled mimovixiloT problemis istoriuli aspeqti. amisaTvis, sicocxlis biologiuri arsebobis cikli, popularulad gamartivebuli formiT warmovadginoT Semdegnairad. winareistoriul epoqaSi (adamianis gaaqtiurebamde), romelime populaciis narCeni iyo meoresaTvis sakvebi, meores narCeni _ mesames sazrdo da a.S. sul bolos, ciklSi erTvebodnen baqteriebi, sokoebi da sxva organizmebi (rudimentebi), romlebic gardaqmnidnen sxvadasxva lpobis produqtebs, organul narCenebs da axdendnen maT mineralizebas, riTac kvlav pirveli populaciis saarsebo bazas amzadebdnen. amrigad, yvelas da yvelafers Tavisi adgili, daniSnuleba da azri hqonda. am dros saerTod gamoiricxeboda narCenebze raime warmodgenac ki da biosistemac absoluturad unarCeno iyo (davarqvaT mas ekologiuri samoTxe). adamianis istoriuli misia mdgomareobs imaSi, rom man SeZlos bunebis im uzado xelovnebis SeTviseba, rasac unarCeno biosistema ewodeba. es aris kacobriobis samecniero_teqnikuri azrovnebis SesaZleblobaTa zRvari. misi analizi gviCvenebs, rom, praqtikulad, yvela saxeobis narCeni SeiZleba gamoyenebul iqnas rogorc meoradi nedleuli. ese igi dadgeba dro, rodesac nebismieri axali teqnologiis licenziisaTvis savaldebulo iqneba Cveneba (miTiTeba), Tu ra pirobebSi da romel teqnologiaSi iqneba SesaZlebeli misi narCenebis gamoyeneba, rogorc meoradi nedleuli. narCenebis gamoyenebis ganusazRvravad arc erTma teqnologiurma procesma ar unda daimkvidros arsebobis ufleba. es aris erTaderTi gza dedamiwaze unarCeno teqnosferos dasanergavad. misi damkvidreba, saboloo jamSi, niSnavs praqtikulad yvela bunebrivi resursis gamoyenebas srulad unarCenod, sruli yairaTianobiT, rac ganapirobebs bunebaTsargeblobis gaxangrZlivebas, uvado perspeqtiviT. aRsaniSnavia, rom ulevi bunebaTsargebloba mxolod sainJinro ekologiis mizani ar aris. dRes, rodesac adamianis erToblivi materialuri moTxovnilebebi mniSvnelovnad aRemateba yvela arsebuli resursis mwarmoeblur SesaZleblobebs, gadamwyveti mniSvneloba eniWeba teqnikur progress, romelic kacobriobas saSualebas miscems, warmoebis efeqtianobis gazrdis gziT resursebis ucvleli raodenobidan meti raodenobis saqoneli awarmoos. SezRuduli warmoebrivi resursebis pirobebSi, resursebis efeqtianad gamoyeneba, agreTve misi marTvis problemebi (adamianis materialur moTxovnilebaTa maqsimalurad dakmayofilebis mizniT), warmoadgens swored ekonomiksis kvlevis sagans; bunebrivia, rom am mimarTulebiT maqsimaluri Sedegis miRweva SesaZlebelia mxolod msoflios yvela saxelmwifos koordinirebuli urTierTobebiTa da ZalisxmeviT. imisaTvis, raTa saxelmwifoTa koordinirebuli urTierTqmedeba gegmazomierad warimarTos, aucilebelia, konceptualuri modelis msgavsi proeqtis Sedgena; oRond amjerad ukve msoflios masStabiT. Tu analogs SevimuSavebT saqarTvelos ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualur modelTan, am SemTxvevaSi msoflios saxelmwifoebi unda warmovidginoT uryevi sazRvrebis raionebad, xolo am saxelmwifoTa konceptualuri modelebi _ raionuli ganviTarebis miznobriv programebad. imave analogiiT, dargobrivi, miznobrivi programebi iqnebian Sedgenilni ukve globlurad (da ara erTi saxelmwifos masStabSi) da mimarTulni zogadad dargebis globaluri racionaluri ganviTarebis uzrunvelyofisken. miznobrivi programebis (rogorc saxelmwifoebis, aseve dargebis) sinTeziT miiReba saerTaSoriso ekonomikuri ganviTarebis globaluri konceptualuri modeli. igi iqneba saxelmwifoTa obieqturad samarTliani da optimaluri (ekonomikuri) ganviTarebis srulyofilad daxvewili gegma, romelic gonivrulad daaregulirebs rogorc ulevi bunebaTsargeblobis erTob saWirboroto sakiTxebs, ise adamianis mzardi materialuri moTxovnilebebis maqsimalurad dakmayofilebis umwvaves problemebs, SezRuduli resursebis pirobebSi. aseTi globaluri xedva aris XXI da Semdgomi saukuneebis msoflio politikis mizanmikvleuli dominanti. dRes iqneba Tu xval, msoflio mainc miva aqamde. amis mkafio simptomebi gaxlavT regionaluri ekonomikuri integraciis zrdis tendenciebi. mxolod nebayoflobiTi, urTierTgawonasworebuli ekonomikuri TanamSromloba gamoricxavs raime saxis eqspansias. (samxedro iqneba is, Tu ekonomikuri, sulerTia) da gonivrulad gaauvneblebs saxelmwifoTaSoriso ekonomikur gaugebrobebs. ufro gamokveTilad rom vTqvaT, msoflmxedvelobiTi integracia aris erTaderTi gza, mimarTuli kacobriobis maradiuli arsebobisaken. gza, aRmocenebuli da damkvidrebuli adamianis maRalzneobriv sulier samyarosa da bunebis gonmiuwvdomeli kanonebis Semecnebis dauokebel swrafvaze. zemoT ukve iTqva, magram kidev erTxel gavimeorebT, rom SemoTavazebul koncefciaSi, Cveni qveynis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis konceptualuri modeli ganixileba, rogorc pirveli nabiji saerTaSoriso ekonomikuri ganviTarebis globaluri konceptualuri modelis Seqmnis gzaze, rogorc misi erT_erTi raionis ekonomikuri ganviTarebis miznobrivi programa, Tu asea, saqarTvelos gamocdileba SeiZleba gaxdes is bazisi, romelic daexmareba globalistebs, Semdgomi nabijebis gadadgmaSi. ufro gamokveTilad rom vTqvaT, eqsperimentis gamarTlebis SemTxvevaSi, igi realurad Seqmnis nayofier niadags globaluri konceptualuri modelis Sesaqmnelad, aqedan gamomdinare, globalistebi, dainteresebulni unda iyvnen qarTuli eqsperimentis gamarTlebaSi da rogorc Sedegi, mzad mis dasafinanseblad. SesaZlebelia amisTvis maT mier gamoiyos kidec ramdenime milioniani aSS dolaris odenobis miznobrivi daxmareba an granti. kargi iqneboda grantze ganacxads (meti wonisTvis) Tu miecemoda saxelmwifo statusi. davZenT, rom grantze ganacxadis vadebi da raodenobrivi mxare araerTxel gagviSuqebia wina werilebSi, magram Tu saWiroeba moiTxovs, mzad varT damatebiT warmovadginoT.